Location Intelligence for Ogun in 2025
Total Incidents (2025)
255
Most Prevalent Risk
Transportation Accident, Homicide
Most Affected LGA
Shagamu
Incidents Over the Past 12 Months
Prevalent Risk
High Impact Incidents in Ogun (2025)
Incidents by Actors
Insights
Velocity
Incidents in Ogun are Improving at a 29.2% year-over-year rate.
Lethality
'Transportation Accident' is the most lethal risk here, averaging 2 casualties per incident.
Forecast
Based on a 3-month moving average, we project approximately 9 incidents for the upcoming month.
Crime Index Score
1.41
(State's weighted contribution to national crime)
Crime Indicator Breakdown
| Indicator | Incidents (Current Year) | Incidents (Previous Year) | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Assaults | 28 | 22 | Escalating |
| Kidnapping | 24 | 24 | Stable |
| Theft | 11 | 34 | Improving |
| Rape | 8 | 24 | Improving |
| Armed Robbery | 5 | 17 | Improving |
| Fraud | 5 | 6 | Improving |
| Firearms Trafficking | 4 | 1 | Escalating |
| Organ Trafficking | 4 | 4 | Stable |
| Drug Trafficking/Drug Abuse | 3 | 7 | Improving |
| Human Trafficking | 3 | 1 | Escalating |