Location Intelligence for Lagos in 2025
Total Incidents (2025)
585
Most Prevalent Risk
Transportation Accident, Homicide
Most Affected LGA
Ikeja
Incidents Over the Past 12 Months
Prevalent Risk
High Impact Incidents in Lagos (2025)
Incidents by Actors
Insights
Velocity
Incidents in Lagos are Improving at a 33.1% year-over-year rate.
Emerging Threat
'Cultism' has shown 200% growth, identifying it as a major emerging threat.
Lethality
'Infrastructural Damage' is the most lethal risk here, averaging 1.2 casualties per incident.
Forecast
Based on a 3-month moving average, we project approximately 33 incidents for the upcoming month.
Crime Index Score
3.75
(State's weighted contribution to national crime)
Crime Indicator Breakdown
| Indicator | Incidents (Current Year) | Incidents (Previous Year) | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drug Trafficking/Drug Abuse | 43 | 74 | Improving |
| Assaults | 39 | 71 | Improving |
| Armed Robbery | 33 | 20 | Escalating |
| Fraud | 33 | 71 | Improving |
| Theft | 30 | 59 | Improving |
| Kidnapping | 27 | 19 | Escalating |
| Rape | 17 | 31 | Improving |
| Firearms Trafficking | 7 | 16 | Improving |
| Terrorism | 7 | 0 | Escalating |
| Human Trafficking | 5 | 13 | Improving |
| Piracy | 1 | 0 | Escalating |