Location Intelligence for Federal Capital Territory in 2025
Total Incidents (2025)
455
Most Prevalent Risk
Kidnapping, Armed Robbery
Most Affected LGA
Bwari
Incidents Over the Past 12 Months
Prevalent Risk
High Impact Incidents in Federal Capital Territory (2025)
Incidents by Actors
Insights
Velocity
Incidents in Federal Capital Territory are Improving at a 46.9% year-over-year rate.
Emerging Threat
'Armed Robbery' has shown 317% growth, identifying it as a major emerging threat.
Lethality
'Kidnapping' is the most lethal risk here, averaging 18.1 casualties per incident.
Forecast
Based on a 3-month moving average, we project approximately 27 incidents for the upcoming month.
Crime Index Score
9.63
(State's weighted contribution to national crime)
Crime Indicator Breakdown
| Indicator | Incidents (Current Year) | Incidents (Previous Year) | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kidnapping | 53 | 38 | Escalating |
| Armed Robbery | 50 | 12 | Escalating |
| Fraud | 45 | 148 | Improving |
| Assaults | 31 | 43 | Improving |
| Terrorism | 21 | 4 | Escalating |
| Theft | 20 | 24 | Improving |
| Human Trafficking | 14 | 8 | Escalating |
| Firearms Trafficking | 10 | 9 | Escalating |
| Drug Trafficking/Drug Abuse | 9 | 13 | Improving |
| Organ Trafficking | 1 | 2 | Improving |